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Alpha Models

AVWAP: Backtested and Reviewed – Is It the Ultimate Trading Tool?

September 6, 2023May 19, 2023 by Leo Smigel
Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price Backtested

The Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP) is making waves, and it might be your ticket to the top tier of traders. I’ve rigorously backtested AVWAP, and the findings are compelling. If you’re a trader keen on data-backed strategies, let …

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Categories Indicators

81+ Ultimate Candlestick Patterns Cheat Sheet in 2023

May 5, 2023May 1, 2023 by Leo Smigel
Japanese Candlestick Patterns Cheat Sheet

In the high-stakes world of trading, one timeless weapon has the power to unlock untold riches: Japanese Candlestick Patterns. This ancient technique offers the key to deciphering the market’s subtle signals like a seasoned pro. Our striking candlestick patterns cheat …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

81+ Candlestick Patterns Explained, Backtested & Ranked 2023

April 21, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Japanese Candlestick Patterns

I analyzed over seven hundred million Japanese candlestick pattern trades in the crypto, forex, and stock market spanning multiple decades to determine what works and doesn’t. Isn’t data science cool? If you’re a trader struggling to make money with candlestick …

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Categories Technical Analysis Leave a comment

Bearish Belt Hold Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Belt Hold Candlestick Pattern Illustration © Analyzing Alpha

The bearish belt hold is a one-bar bearish reversal Japanese candlestick pattern that suggests near-term bullish volatility according to an extensive backtest. Traditional traders might be surprised to learn that they’re likely losing money using typical candlestick charting methods. But …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Bearish Breakaway Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Breakaway Candlestick Pattern © Analyzing Alpha

The bearish breakaway is an extremely rare five-bar Japanese candlestick pattern that supposedly suggests a future bearish reversal. The pattern occurs too infrequently to determine the best trading strategies with any statistical significance. But if you’re interested in this pattern, …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Bearish Closing Marubozu Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Closing Marubozu Candlestick Pattern Illustration © Analyzing Alpha

The bearish closing marubozu, also known as the black closing marubozu, is a frequently occurring one-bar Japanese candlestick pattern that’s thought to be bearish. But what if I told you this pattern is not a bearish signal as traditionally traded, …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Bearish Counterattack Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Counterattack Candlestick Pattern Illustration © Analyzing Alpha

The bearish counterattack, also knowns as the bearish counterattack lines, is a Japanese candlestick pattern that suggests future volatility according to the data. Crypto traders should avoid this pattern due to a lack of statistically significant trading strategies. Traders using …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Bearish Doji Star Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Doji Star Candlestick Pattern Illustration © Analyzing Alpha

The bearish doji star is a two-bar bearish reversal Japanese candlestick pattern that historically leads to near-term volatility. Traders using traditional technical analysis methods to go bear lose money across all markets tested. Not so hot, right? But what if …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Bearish Engulfing Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern Illustration ©Analyzing Alpha

The bearish engulfing is a one-bar bearish reversal Japanese candlestick pattern that backtests show suggests volatility. History shows traditional bearish engulfing methods have a negative edge in all markets tested. Who likes losing money in every market? I don’t! But …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns Leave a comment

Three Black Crows Explained & Backtested (2023)

March 30, 2023November 11, 2022 by Leo Smigel
Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern Illustration © Analyzing Alpha

The three black crows is a rare four-bar bearish reversal Japanese candlestick pattern that is best traded using a bearish mean reversion strategy in the stock market, according to backtests spanning multiple decades. Crypto and forex traders should avoid this …

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Categories Candlestick Patterns
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